New Democracy has a lead of 15.1 points in the vote estimate, according to the political barometer of Opinion Poll for Action 24.
According to the vote estimate (which does not include a possible party by Antonis Samaras, nor a possible move announced by Ilias Kasidiaris, if he overcomes the legal obstacle of running in elections), ND gathers 31%, compared with 15.9% for Alexis Tsipras's ELAS, while PASOK is third with 12.1%. Based on the estimate, eight parties enter Parliament and ND receives 126 seats, 25 fewer than those required for self-sufficiency.
The vote estimate
After the first three parties come Greek Solution with 7.3% and the KKE with 6.8%. Course of Freedom gathers 5.4%, Hope 4.8% and Voice of Reason 3.3%, slightly above the 3% entry threshold.
Below the threshold are MeRA25 with 2.5% and SYRIZA with 1.8%. The Spartans and Democrats of St. Kasselakis receive 1.3% each and Niki 1.1%. Another party accounts for 4.8%.
Voting intention
In voting intention ND records 25.7%, ELAS 13.2% and PASOK 10.1%. They are followed by Greek Solution with 6.1%, the KKE with 5.7%, Course of Freedom with 4.5%, Hope with 4% and Voice of Reason with 2.7%. MeRA25 receives 2.1% and SYRIZA 1.5%. The undecided reach 16.9%.
The distribution of seats
Based on the vote estimate, the polling company attempts a distribution of seats in an eight-party parliament.
Behind ND's 126 seats, ELAS secures 49 and PASOK 38. Greek Solution receives 24 seats, the KKE 21, Course of Freedom 17, Hope 15 and Voice of Reason 10.
Compared with the company's previous measurements, ND remains stable near 31%. It had 31.2% in May and 30.5% in June. ELAS, which has been recorded since June, is moving slightly upward, from 15.5% to 15.9%.
PASOK recovers part of its losses, as it rises to 12.1% from 10.5% in June. However, it remains lower than May's 14.4%. The KKE stands at 6.8%, from 6.5% in June and 7.8% in May.
