Investment in Greece hits 16-year high, but gains are uneven

The recovery is uneven. Between 2019 and 2023, two of the 10 main sectors accounted for 52.6% of the total increase, while financial activities declined.

Investment in Greece hits 16-year high, but gains are uneven

This article is an AI translation of an original piece published in Greek. Read original

Investment in Greece has recovered markedly after the prolonged contraction of the previous decade. As the Governor of the Bank of Greece, Yannis Stournaras, recently noted, investment stood at just 11% of GDP in 2019; today it has reached 18%, its highest level in 16 years.

Between 2020 and 2025, gross fixed capital formation rose by about 80% in real terms. This recovery is helping to gradually close the large investment gap left by the crisis. In 2025, investment made a greater contribution to growth than private consumption.

The recovery in investment, supported decisively by resources from the Recovery Fund and European structural funds, is helping to modernise production. This is creating a solid foundation for higher productivity and better-paid jobs.

The picture becomes clearer when figures for gross fixed capital formation are measured at constant prices—that is, adjusted to exclude the impact of price changes. Gross fixed capital formation covers spending on homes, buildings, infrastructure, machinery, equipment and intangible fixed assets such as software and research and development.

In volume terms, based on 2020 prices, total investment rose from about €20.3bn in 2019 to €34.1bn in 2024. It stood at €20.6bn in 2020, €25.1bn in 2021, €30.6bn in 2022 and €32.6bn in 2023.

The increase accelerated after the pandemic and continued in the following years, albeit at a slower pace than in 2021 and 2022. For 2025, ELSTAT estimates that the real volume of investment reached €37.1bn, up 8.9% on 2024. These figures are chain-linked volume measures and may not add up exactly across sectors.

The latest reading points to a continued upward trend: in the second quarter of 2026, gross fixed capital formation increased by 6.1% compared with the same quarter of 2025 and by 2.2% from the first quarter, on a seasonally adjusted basis. These are provisional figures, which ELSTAT is expected to revise as newer data are incorporated.

Investment by sector in Greece, 2019–2023

Sector

2019

2023

Change in value

Change (%)

Agriculture, forestry and fishing

2,250.5

2,914.3

+663.8

+29.5%

Industry, energy and mining

3,863.4

6,526.9

+2,663.5

+68.9%

Construction

172.0

749.8

+577.9

+336.1%

Trade, transport, tourism and food services

3,907.3

5,449.2

+1,541.9

+39.5%

Information and communication

1,304.2

2,293.5

+989.2

+75.8%

Financial and insurance activities

933.1

757.0

−176.1

−18.9%

Real estate activities

1,942.8

6,014.8

+4,072.0

+209.6%

Professional and administrative services

1,315.1

2,210.7

+895.5

+68.1%

Public administration, education and health

4,322.7

8,337.9

+4,015.2

+92.9%

Arts, entertainment and other services

304.0

435.6

+131.6

+43.3%

Total

20,315.2

35,689.7

+15,374.5

+75.7%

Figures in €m, current prices - Source: ELSTAT

 

However, a sector-by-sector analysis shows that the recovery is not evenly distributed. Behind the substantial overall increase are sharp differences between sectors: some have accounted for most of the additional investment, others have recorded significantly slower growth, and one has even seen a decline.

According to ELSTAT data, gross fixed capital formation rose from €20.32bn in 2019 to €35.69bn in 2023, an increase of €15.37bn. But a breakdown by sector reveals that the investment recovery has been marked by significant concentration, rather than balanced growth across the economy.

The most striking finding is that just two of the 10 main sectors accounted for 52.6% of the total increase in investment between 2019 and 2023.

Investment in real estate activities rose by €4.07bn, from €1.94bn in 2019 to €6.01bn in 2023, a striking increase of 209.6%. This was the sector with the largest absolute increase in investment, highlighting the particularly strong momentum in the property market.

Similarly, in the broader sector encompassing public administration, education and health, investment increased by €4.02bn, from €4.32bn to €8.34bn, a rise of 92.9%.

Together, these two sectors accounted for about €8.09bn of the €15.37bn total increase.

The concentration is even more apparent when industry, energy and mining are included, where investment rose by €2.66bn. These three sectors accounted for about 70% of the total increase, leaving the remaining 30% to be shared among the other seven sectors.

The uneven picture becomes clearer still when percentage changes are considered.

In construction, investment rose by 336.1%, but from a particularly low base, increasing from €172m to about €750m. So despite the striking percentage change, the sector’s contribution to the overall increase was relatively limited.

By contrast, real estate activities recorded a 209.6% increase, combining a high growth rate with a large absolute rise in investment.

In industry, energy and mining, investment grew by 68.9%, while in information and communication it rose by 75.8%.

Growth was slower still in sectors with a significant presence in the Greek economy. Investment in trade, transport, tourism and food services increased by 39.5%, while in agriculture, forestry and fishing it rose by just 29.5%.

The latter figure is particularly telling of the uneven distribution of the investment recovery, as the primary sector recorded growth well below the economy-wide average.

At the other end of the scale, financial and insurance activities were the only sector to record a decline, with investment falling by 18.9%.

SOURCE: ANA-MPA

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