New Democracy holds a comfortable lead in an Opinion Poll survey for ACTION 24, while the Alliance of Greeks, backed by convicted Ilias Kasidiaris wins 3.5% and enters parliament.
In the vote estimate, New Democracy leads with 30.3%, followed by ELAS on 15.9% and PASOK–Movement for Change on 12.3%. The remaining shares are as follows:
- KKE: 7.2%
- Greek Solution: 6.8%
- Course of Freedom: 5.1%
- Hope: 4.5%
- Voice of Reason: 3.5%
- Alliance of Greeks: 3.5%
- MeRA25: 2.7%
- SYRIZA: 1.7%
- NIKI: 1.1%
- Other party: 5.6%
Among valid votes, voting intention is as follows:
- New Democracy: 25.5%
- ELAS: 13.3%
- PASOK–Movement for Change: 10.4%
- KKE: 6.1%
- Greek Solution: 5.8%
- Course of Freedom: 4.3%
- Hope for Democracy: 3.8%
- Voice of Reason: 2.9%
- Alliance of Greeks: 2.9%
- MeRA25: 2.3%
- SYRIZA: 1.5%
- NIKI: 0.9%
- Other party: 4.7%
- Undecided: 15.7%

Seat projections and who voters think will win
Based on the vote estimate, the distribution of seats in parliament is as follows:
- ND: 122 seats (range 27.8% - 32.8%)
- ELAS: 48 seats (range 14.2% - 17.5%)
- PASOK: 37 seats (range 10.7% - 13.9%)
- KKE: 21 seats (range 6.2% - 8.2%)
- Greek Solution: 20 seats (range 5.8% - 7.8%)
- Course of Freedom: 16 seats (range 4.3% - 5.9%)
- Hope: 14 seats (range 3.8% - 5.2%)
- Voice of Reason: 11 seats (range 3.0% - 4.0%)
- Alliance of Greeks: 11 seats (range 3.0% - 4.0%)
On the question of who will win, New Democracy retains a commanding lead at 57.9%, compared with 7.0% for ELAS and 5.2% for PASOK, while 13.7% answer “Don’t know / No answer”.

Who is best suited to be prime minister
Asked who is best suited to be prime minister:
- Kyriakos Mitsotakis: 27.4%
- “None”: 26.5%
- Alexis Tsipras: 13.1%
- Nikos Androulakis: 7.1%
From September to October, Mitsotakis slips slightly from 27.9% to 27.4%, Tsipras from 13.9% to 13.1%, and Androulakis from 7.4% to 7.1%, while the “None” option rises from 24.9% to 26.5%.

What the public says about claims of ministerial arrogance
Asked whether New Democracy officials’ comments about arrogance are exaggerated, 54% answer “Probably not / No”, while 38% say “Yes / Probably yes”.

Among New Democracy voters (2024 European elections), 48.2% consider the comments exaggerated, while 43.9% disagree.

Source: ethnos.gr