The economy and the cost of living are the main factors voters will consider when choosing how to vote in the national elections, expected to be held in spring 2027.
According to a poll conducted by Pulse and presented on SKAI’s main evening news bulletin, most voters will decide based on the economy and the cost of living, regardless of how they voted in previous elections. Voters will therefore choose the programme that convinces them most and offers greater security in the present and for the future.
The figures on preferences for a single-party majority government or a coalition are striking. Some 43% favour a single-party majority government, while 36% want a coalition. Another 13% say they see no “difference”, while 8% did not want to answer.
In voting intention, with undecided voters allocated, New Democracy remains clearly in first place with 30%, but is still short of its target of a single-party majority. The Greek Left Alliance (ELAS), led by Alexis Tsipras, is in second place with 16.5%, 13.5 percentage points behind New Democracy.
PASOK is in third place. It has gained a small share of the vote, but not enough to close the gap with ELAS, let alone the gap with New Democracy in the race for first place — a position Nikos Androulakis has set as his goal in the coming elections.
Among the notable findings in the Pulse poll is that at least nine parties would enter parliament, with a tenth also close to the threshold. The poll also suggests that the Alliance of Greeks, the party reportedly backed by Elias Kasidiaris, who was recently released from prison, would enter parliament.
Voting intention and estimated vote share
Factors shaping voting choices
The election’s central question — given developments around the world and the negative outlook — will be a single one, at least when it comes to what voters consider in deciding how to vote: the economy...
The economy and the cost of living will therefore be the main consideration for 50% of voters, while 18% said they would decide based on justice and the rule of law.
Voters lean towards a single-party majority
On the choice between a “single-party majority or a coalition”, voters lean clearly towards a single-party majority, and in particular a centre-right majority government, a prospect represented by the governing New Democracy party. Support for a coalition government is not negligible, however, while two in 10 did not express a preference or were neutral.
How the government’s measures to tackle fuel price rises are viewed
Overall, albeit by a narrow margin, most voters view positively the government’s measures to address high fuel prices, particularly following its latest announcements on cutting the price of heating oil.
How many would vote for Samaras’s party
Only a few pieces are now missing from the political jigsaw ahead of the spring 2027 elections. The piece expected to cause the biggest upheaval, and potentially make a significant impact, is the party former prime minister Antonis Samaras is expected to announce.
According to the Pulse poll, 5% say they would definitely vote for Mr Samaras’s party, while 8% say they “probably” would.
PASOK “leads” as an effective opposition
Among opposition parties, PASOK appears to be out in front, while the Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) of Alexis Tsipras is in third place, behind the Course of Freedom. It is clear that voters do not view the absence of Mr Tsipras’s party from parliament positively, as it means the party lacks parliamentary activity and proposals.
Mitsotakis is voters’ preferred prime minister, Tsipras second
Kyriakos Mitsotakis remains voters’ preferred choice for prime minister, with 29% of responses, a figure in line with New Democracy’s support. Alexis Tsipras is in second place with 16%, also broadly in line with ELAS’s support. “None” is in third place with 11%, followed by Nikos Androulakis with 8%.
Metron Analysis puts New Democracy at 30% in estimated vote share
Metron Analysis’s estimated vote share in a poll commissioned by MEGA puts New Democracy exactly at the 30% mark, slightly down on the previous estimate; ELAS is at 15%, down from 15.8%; PASOK is at 13%, a slight increase; Greek Solution has fallen to 6.2%; the Communist Party of Greece (KKE) is at 5.8%; Course of Freedom at 5.7%; and Voice of Reason at 5.3%.
Hope for Democracy has fallen to 4%, while MeRA25 is just above the threshold at 3%. Metron Analysis has also made an initial estimate of 3.5% for the Alliance of Greeks.
Voters expect two rounds of elections
As for the election outcome, most respondents believe the vote will not produce a government and that elections will therefore have to be held again. Some 69% take this view. It is the majority opinion across all political self-identifications. New Democracy voters are more optimistic about a government being formed.
