The two new polls released yesterday (by Alco for Flash.gr and by Marc for ANT1) do not change the “big picture” of the political landscape; however, beyond voting intentions and New Democracy’s comfortable lead, the findings shed light on the real challenges facing the ruling camp against the backdrop of the upcoming national elections.
The first and most important challenge for Kyriakos Mitsotakis is to rally his electoral base. Support for New Democracy stands at just 58%, while it is particularly significant that nearly one in four voters who chose New Democracy in 2023 (24%) now say they are undecided, and another 3% are leaning toward abstaining.
This is the so-called “gray zone,” in which the government is investing politically, viewing it as a positive sign that these voters have not shifted to another party, making it easier to win them back.
In this context, the government is choosing to emphasize the need for stability in the country. It is no coincidence that 28% of citizens believe the key electoral issue is the choice between stability and political instability—a narrative that the Maximos Mansion intends to emphasize even more strongly as the election approaches.
At the same time, the qualitative data from the polls remind us that everyday life will continue to top the agenda. Inflation remains by far the number one problem for citizens, with 45% (Alco) and 73.8% (Marc) citing it as their primary concern. This is the area in which the government knows it will be judged more than any other in the coming months.
PASOK Voters
At the same time, the government team views it as a positive sign that 35.2% rate the government’s performance as positive or somewhat positive, while it is particularly noteworthy that nearly one in three PASOK voters (31%). This is a demographic that New Democracy is targeting in an effort to strengthen its influence in the political center.
At the Maximos Mansion, officials believe that the political battle leading up to 2027 will be shaped by credibility and effectiveness. Authoritative sources link the conflict with the “deep state”—as well as the reforms being promoted—to Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s strategy for a third term, summarizing it with the slogan “We said it, we’re doing it.”
“Our credibility is judged by what we promised and what we’ve accomplished,” is the message the prime minister consistently conveys, seeking to turn the government’s work into a key campaign platform.
At the same time, the message to the ministers—as highlighted in yesterday’s cabinet meeting—is clear: society’s problems cannot wait, and the response to the opposition must come through policies and results.
In this context, as they say, what is truly at stake is not the opposition parties’ performance in the polls, but the government’s ability to effectively address the pressures facing households, foremost among them rising prices.
The public statements by ministers are also along these lines. The Minister of Development, Takis Theodorikakos, emphasizes that opinion polls do not predict the election outcome, noting that citizens will decide based on real dilemmas and specific governance proposals, where New Democracy aims to present itself as the most stable choice for Greece in 2030.
Similarly, Minister of Shipping Vasilis Kikilias describes the goal of winning an outright majority as achievable, provided that the government continues to “keep its foot on the gas,” addressing society’s problems and, above all, the issue of high prices.