"The yen has a little further to go," said Katzive. "We
think dollar/yen can get down to 82 in the near term."
The euro fell 0.3 percent to 106.83 yen <EURJPY=>.
Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda repeated on
Tuesday that the government would take decisive action on
currencies -- usually seen as code for intervention -- when
necessary.
On Monday, the Bank of Japan expanded cheap loans to banks,
a move seen as a symbolic gesture that will do little to halt
the currency's climb.
"The policy action by the BoJ isn't going to change the
market's mood. It would probably take intervention to shake
things up a bit," said Vassili Serebriakov, currency strategist
at Wells Fargo in New York. "But we're not even sure that would
cause a sustained reversal of yen strength."
INTERVENTION RISK
The dollar has fallen 2.7 percent against the yen this
month and is down more than 9 percent this year.
Traders say Japanese authorities are expected to buy the
dollar against the yen if the dollar slides 3-4 yen in one day.
For Q+A on whether Japan will intervene to curb the yen's rise,
click on [ID:nTOE67U05E].
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
PDF on Japan's yen dilemma: http://r.reuters.com/nef47n
Insider segment on the yen with RBS Securities Chief Japan
Economist Junko Nishioka: http://link.reuters.com/rer38n
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>
Derek Halpenny, analyst at The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
UFJ, said while "there is a deep reluctance" within the
Japanese government to intervene, "the tepid policy steps taken
by the Japanese authorities yesterday does shift the risk
toward action as yen gains persist."
A raft of U.S. economic releases this week, highlighted by
Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, could push the yen higher,
analysts said, if they show further deterioration in the
economy and weigh on bond yields.
The dollar/yen rate has had a strong correlation in recent
months with the yield gap between the United States and Japan,
and a fall in Treasury yields also weighed on the dollar.
The yen could also face potential buyback pressure in cross
trades such as euro/yen and Aussie/yen, which have attracted
some interest because of their larger yield differentials.
Against the dollar, the euro rose 0.3 percent to $1.2705
<EUR=>, helped in part by strong job numbers from Germany.
[ID:nLDE67U0IQ]
The euro slumped to a record low against the safe-haven
Swiss franc, removing barriers at 1.2900 on the way. The euro
fell as low as 1.2878 francs <EURCHF=EBS> on EBS. The dollar
fell to a seven-month low against the Swiss francs <CHF=>.
(Additional reporting by Steven C. Johnson; Editing by Leslie
Adler)